Week 4

Week 4 

Last week I almost was back to normal. Lost a few games due to the hook and ended up going 10-6, I'll take that. I also hit my 3 team parlay and 2 out of the 3 moneyline upsets. This week I'm shooting for a minimum 11 wins (only 13 games)

Thursday Night

NYG @ Washington WAS -3

The home team has won and covered in each of the first three Thursday Night Football games; I am sticking with that. Washington looked incredible against the Eagles and barring a late interception by Kirk Cousins, they were in line to win that game. 

WAS -3

Carolina @ Baltimore BAL -3

Baltimore is coming off of a big comeback win against Cleveland and Carolina is kind of licking their wounds from the pounding they took at home against Pittsburgh. Baltimore dominated Pittsburgh at home two weeks ago on Thursday, but Carolina will bounce back and cover/win this game.

CAR +3

Green Bay @ Chicago CHI +1.5

Green Bay has not looked like the NFC North Champions they were last season. The Bears are coming off of back to back wins on prime time television. I'm taking the Bears, if they can get to Rodgers they will win this game. Take the points though.

CHI +1.5

Buffalo @ Houston HOU -3.5

This is a big iffy game; I personally think it should be a pick... I'm taking Houston -3.5... not happy with either team with/without the points

HOU -3.5

Tennessee @ Indianapolis IND -7.5

Tennessee has looked good and looked absolutely awful against better teams this year. Don't let Indy's record fool you. Indy will win by 2 scores here.

IND -7.5

Detroit @ NYJ NYJ +1.5

Usually I am a fan of getting points at home but Detroit is just bigger/faster/stronger and have so many weapons on the offensive side. The Jets on the other hand have two rooking Cornerbacks that love to run their mouths. Detroit wins by 7 minimum.

DET -1.5 

Miami @ Oakland OAK +3.5

Lamar Miller should have a good day on the ground against a sub par Oakland run defense. Oakland hung around with New England last weekend and tends to cover at home. I'm going balls out here and taking Oakland as an upset.

OAK +3.5

Tampa Bay @ Pittsburgh PIT -7.5

Tampa has looked horrendous since Lovie Smith has taken over the team. I'm not even going into detail here. Pittsburgh by a lot.

PIT -7.5

Jacksonville @ San Diego SD -13.5

Jacksonville got spanked last week in Indy and expect the same when they travel into San Diego.

SD -13.5

Atlanta @ Minnesota MIN +3

Atlanta is far too fast and talented for Minnesota's mediocre pass rush. Atlanta flat out embarrassed the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (devilish smile). They will beat up on Minnesota but not nearly as bad as the did in Tampa. Atlanta by 10.

ATL -3

Philadelphia @ San Francisco SF -5

Frisco has not looked like the team they once were the past few years and cant seem to close out games. Philly is the exact opposite. Philly will fall behind and come back in this on as well. Take Philly with the points.

PHI +5

New Orleans @ Dallas DAL +3

Both teams have looked good and both teams have looked bad. Romo will be Romo here and turn the ball over late. Fire on New Orleans here.

NO -3

New England @ Kansas City KC +3

Another game I would personally stay away from but I like New England here.

NE -3

Three Team Parlay

ATL -3

PIT -7.5

IND -7.5

Moneyline Upsets

PHI

CHI

Week 3

Well, I took an absolute beating last week in my picks. I'm not even going to go over the numbers; they were flat out embarrassing. For all of those that are new to the "Sloppy Spread", have a little faith. I have never had a week that bad and do not intend to ever again. Okay onto the picks! I am going back to my old format of games listed rather than by AFC/NFC (superstition).

Thursday Night

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta  ATL -5.5

Josh McCown is the X-factor for the bucs. He hasn't looked well at all in the first 2 games. Same system, same head coach, different team. Mccown will bounce back and have an better than average game against a sub par ATL secondary. Tampa will cover and might actually win this game
TB + 5.5

Sunday Noon Games

San Diego @ Buffalo  BUF -2.5

San Diego hung around with one of the best defenses in the league and beat the best defense in the league. Record they are 1+1. Buffalo is a surprising 2-0, they beat an not so good Bears defense who pretty much handed them the game and a decent Miami Dolphins. I'm taking SD with the points.

SD +2.5

Tennessee @ Cincinnati  CIN -6.5

AJ Green has practiced twice this week; Wednesday he had a limited practice. Thursday was a full practice and listed as probable, which means he is playing. Even if he wasn't playing I'd take Cincinnati.

Cincinnati -6.5

Baltimore @ Cleveland  CLE +1.5

Cleveland looked outstanding last week against the New Orleans Saints, while Baltimore's defense looked like the Ray Lewis days against Pittsburgh. Between Bernard Pierce an Justin Forsett I see the Ravens winning this game by double digits.

BAL -1.5

Green Bay @ Detroit  DET -1

This is a hard one. Its a NFC North divisional game. Green Bay has now come out of the gates stumbling in both games. Detroit looked outstanding week one against a horrible New York Giants team. I'd stay away from this game but I'm leaning towards Detroit.

DET -1

Indianapolis @ Jacksonville  JAX +6.5

Indy 1000% yes 1000%, nothing to say here. Indy is 0-2 that's going to change,

IND -6.5

Oakland @ New England  NE -13.5

This line has gone from -10 to now -13.5; meaning everyone is firing on New England. I'm with everyone else New England by minimum.

NE -13.5

Minnesota @ New Orleans  NO -11.5

This is the second of many weeks without Adrian Peterson in Minnesota, New Orleans are 0-2 which is unheard of since Drew Brees came to the Saints. The Saints at home are hungry for a win. New Orleans wins in a landslide.

NO -11.5

Houston @ New York Giants  NYG -3

A tale of two very sub par teams. The Giants are absolutely horrible, Eli Manning has looked like a back up quarterback for the past 3 years. This will continue and Houston comes out on top here.

HOU +3

Washington @ Philadelphia  PHI -7

Kirk Cousins gets the start with an injured RGIII; which in my eyes is better for the Redskins. Cousins is a pass first scramble later quarterback and a more stable pocket QB. Washington has some decent talent with their receivers but..... they won't be able to keep up with the uptempo offense of Chip Kelly and the Philadelphia Eagles.

PHI -7

Dallas @ St. Louis  STL +1

St. Louis is banged up in almost every aspect of their team. Their front 4 which was supposed to be the best in the league is dwindling down due to injuries and under performance. This might be the only time I bet with Romo and the Cowboys.

DAL -1

Sunday Late Afternoon Games

San Francisco @ Arizona  ARI +1.5

San Francisco should be 2-0 but they lost the game themselves last week. Arizona is starting Drew Stanton again (MSU!) Even though San Francisco's defense is "banged up" I like them with the points

SF +1.5

Kansas City @ Miami  MIA -3.5

Kansas City has a new emerging back in the second year runner Knile Davis. Jamaal Charles is listed as a gane time decision. If he plays he will be splitting carries with Knile Davis due to his high ankle sprain. Whether Charles plays or not KC WINS THIS GAME.

KC +3.5

Denver @ Seattle  SEA -4.5

Rematch of last years Super Bowl.... This time it's not at a "neutral location" I like Seattle by 6 in this one.

SEA -4.5

Sunday Night

Pittsburgh @ Carolina  CAR -3
.
It seems every spread for a Carolina Panthers game is between 3-6. This is because they are good but 90% (made up stat)  I like Carolina at home here giving 3

CAR -3

Monday Night

Chicago @ New York Jets  NYJ -1.5

Da BEARSSSSS. The Jets secondary has been talking smack, who has been running their mouth you ask?? A rookie who has played 2 games in the NFL. Healthy Marshall and healthier Jeffery means a Bears W.

CHI +1.5


Three Team Parlay

CHI +1.5

KC +3.5

INDY -6.5


Moneyline Upset Specials

CHI

KC

SF 

Fire on all three is you would like, they're all winners this week.

Week 2 2014-2015

Welcome back to The Sloppy Spread! This is your one stop shop for all your NFL picks. Last season I started this a little late and only covered the last couple of weeks. This season I will be splitting it up by AFC/NFC. Well onto the picks!

AFC

Thursday Night

Pittsburgh @ Baltimore  Spread: BAL -3 O/U 44 1/2

Take Pittsburgh with the points; if Pittsburgh showed us anything last week is that they will literally kick their opponents teeth in. Although this is a rivalry game; I don't see Baltimore putting up much of a fight.

PIT +3

Sunday

New Orleans @ Cleveland Spread: NO -7 O/U 47 1/2

WHO DAT??? Saints all the way, not much needs to be said here. The Saints passing game has improved with the addition of rookie wide-out from Oregon State Brandin Cooks. While Cleveland's number 1 running back is hurt in Ben Tate and they really don't have a number one WR. New Orleans big here

NO -7

Seattle @ San Diego Spread: SEA -6 O/U 44 1/2

I usually don't bet on Seattle but after the week one whomping on the Packers; the Seahawks or "Hawks" as commentators are trying to push look even better than last year, granted that was at home with the "twelfth man". Seattle by at least a TD here.

SEA -6

Kansas City @ Denver Spread: Denver -13 O/U 51 1/2

This is what I call a trap bet. Personally I am not giving this a second look. Denver came out like they do every game full throttle first half big lead; and cruise control in the second. If you're feeling lucky take KC. Peyton doesn't do so well against the spread.

KC +13

Houston @ Oakland Spread: HOU -3 O/U 39 1/2

Another game I won't be betting but for the fun of it take Oakland with the points. Derek Carr looks better than his brother did in only one game in the NFL, and Houston doesn't have much going for them. I'm always a fan of the home team with points.

OAK +3

Atlanta @ Cincinnati Spread CIN -5 O/U 48

Matt Ryan looked brilliant last week as he added another comeback/tying drive late in the fourth quarter. Everyone is healthy in HOTlanta take em with the points.

ATL+5

Philadelphia @ Indianapolis (Monday Night) Spread: IND -3 O/U 53 1/2

Andrew Luck at home against a team that came out flat against the Jacksonville Jaguars.... Fire on luck Indy will win by 10+.

IND -3

NFC

Detroit @ Carolina Spread: CAR -3 O/U 43 1/2

Cam's first game (possibly) of the season against a defense that has gotten stronger and faster, with the addition of Golden Tate which only makes Detroit a bigger sleeper in the NFC North. I love Detroit with the points with or with out Cam Newton starting for Carolina.

DET -3

New England @ Minnesota Spread: NE-3 O/U 49

I truly feel that the Brady era is coming to an end. The Pats fell to an average Miami Dolphins and let Knowshon Moreno run for 134 yds on 24 carries and a TD; do you think they're going to stop AP??? Nope! Take Minnesota with the points at home.

MIN +3

**UPDATED NO ADRIAN PETERSON; HE IS INACTIVE... TAKE THE PATS -3

Arizona @ New York Giants Spread ARI -3 O/U 43

STAY AWAY FROM THIS GAME!!! Eli Manning continues to look worse every week and Arizona did not impress me against San Diego last Monday night. For the hell of it I'll take the Giants with the points...remember they are at home.

NYG +3

Dallas @ Tennessee Spread: TEN - 3 1/2 O/U 49 1/2

As long as Tony Romo is quarterback the Cowboys will only beat the spread on avg just over 3/16 games, Every week you will see a trend I will always bet against Romo. 

Tennessee -3

Jacksonville @ Washington: Spread WAS -6 O/U 43 1/2

Jacksonville doesn't play well at home or on the road. They are still a few years away from a .500 season.

WAS -6

Chicago @ San Francisco: Spread SF -7 O/U 48 1/2

The Bears have not won in Frisco since 1985 and that was with arguably one of the best defenses of all time. This year they're defense is already ranked in the bottom half of the NFL. It hurts me to say as a Bears fan but take the 49ers here.

SF -7

Three team parlay

Minnesota +3 DO NOT USE MINNESOTA IN YOUR THREE TEAMER SEE BELOW

Detroit +3

San Francisco -7
INDY -3

MONEYLINE UPSET

Minnesota Vikings over the New England Patriots **UPDATED DO NOT TAKE MINNESOTA. AP IS NOT PLAYING THIS SUNDAY!!!
Detroit is a moneyline special!

O/U

SEA --Over

Det -- Under

Week 17

Week 17

Welcome everybody to Week 17. This is the final week of the NFL regular season. In week 16 I went 10-6. Again, one of my moneyline upset picks came in. New England smoked Baltimore 41-7. Also, Peyton Manning set the single season touchdown record with 51 touchdowns. Tom Brady held the record since 2007 with 50 touchdowns. Enough about stats let's take a look at this upcoming week. This week is the most challenging week for picks. Many teams will have their star players sitting at least one half due to clinching playoff spots.

Sunday:

Carolina at Atlanta (CAR -5.5 O/U 45.5)

Carolina enters at the top of the NFC SOUTH and clinched the one of the wild card spots. Cam Newton will shred the 28th ranked total defense and cover.

CAR -5.5

Baltimore at Cincinnati (CIN -6 O/U 44.5)

Baltimore enters this game tied for the second wild card spot in the AFC with Miami and San Diego; while Cincinnati has already clinched the AFC North. Baltimore will fall short this game and miss the playoffs. Cincinnati wins and covers here.

CIN -6

Houston at Tennessee (TEN -7 O/U 44.5)

This game means nothing to either team. Houston has lost 13 straight games and Tennessee is an embarrassing 2-5 at home. Take Houston with the points.

HOU +7

Jacksonville at Indianapolis (-11.5 O/U 45.5)

Indy clinched the AFC South weeks ago. Andrew Luck will most likely play the first half at most and the back up is the experienced Matt Hasselbeck. Although, Jacksonville has stayed in games over the last month they won't come close in this game.

Indy -11.5

New York Jets at Miami (MIA -6.5 O/U 41)

Miami needs a win and some help if they want to make the playoffs. They enter this game in a three way time between Baltimore and the San Diego Chargers for the last spot in the AFC playoff picture. Miami will cover and win 7.

MIA -6.5

Detroit at Minnesota (MIN -3.5 O/U 51.5)

The Lions have had one of the worst second half's of the season in the NFL losing 5 of their last 6 games, Detroit was eliminated from playoff contention after and overtime loss to the Giants last week. Minnesota also had nothing to play for entering the game 4-10-1. Detroit will win this game. Take them on the moneyline.

DET +3.5

Washington at New York Giants (NYG -3.5 O/U 45.5)

Washington lost to the Giants in Week 13 24-17. The Giants are 13th best in the league against the pass. As long as the double up on Pierre Garcon New York will breeze through this game and win by 7+.

NYG -3.5

Cleveland at Pittsburgh (PIT -7 O/U 44)

Pittsburgh has a tiny chance to make the playoffs. They need to win while Miami, Baltimore, and San Diego all need to lose. With that being said they can make the playoffs but need a lot of help. Cleveland continues to look bad week in and week out. Pittsburgh by 10 here.

PIT -7

Green Bay at Chicago (GB -3 O/U 53)

DO NOT TOUCH THIS GAME!! Rodgers returns for his first game since the last time the Packers faced off against the Bears on Monday night in Week 9. Rodgers also has one of his weapons back this week in Randall Cobb. The winner takes the division in this week 17 divisional matchup. GB wins wins by 7.

GB-3

Denver at Oakland (DEN -12 O/U 53.5)

If Peyton Manning plays one down in this game it will be one too many. They have clinched the AFC West after beating Houston 37-13 and KC's loss to Indy. Oakland has been out of contention for quite some time. Oakland will cover.

OAK +12

Buffalo at New England (NE -9 O/U 47)

The good thing about this game if you want to bet it is Bill Belichick shows no mercy and Brady will most likely play. Buffalo is ranked in the top ten in passing defense and rushing defense this year. New England is 7th in the league in passing. Tom Brady is averaging 264.8 yds per game. I'm going to take a shot here and take Buffalo here with the points.

BUF +9

Tampa Bay at New Orleans (NO -12.5 O/U 47.5)

New Orleans has never needed a win as much as they do this week. The are currently a game behind the Panthers for the division. If they win and Carolina loses they win the division due to the record in their division tie-breaker. If the lose they do not make the playoffs. Tampa has been a jeckel and hyde team all season (mostly bad). I really like New Orleans here.

NO -12.5

San Francisco at Arizona (SF -1 O/U 42)

Sadly, Arizona has a chance to go 11-5 and not make the playoffs. This hasn't happened since the 2008 New England Patriots. San Francisco has a chance to hop into homefield advantage throughout the playoffs. They need a win and a Seattle loss. Frisco will win this game by double digits.

SF -1

Kansas City at San Diego (SD -10 O/U 45)

Stay away from this game. Kansas City is coming off of a loss to Indy and San Diego beat the Raiders last week. KC can't better their seed for the playoffs and SD is in a 3-way tie for the last wild card spot with Miami and Baltimore. Plus this looks like a dummy bet with the Chargers favored by 10. Take KC even if half the team doesn't play.

KC +10

St. Louis at Seattle (SEA -10 O/U 43)

Seattle has the best total defense in the NFL and number 1 in passing defense. St. Louis has defeated some great teams this year (ARZ, IND, CHI) I like Seattle to win but not cover.

STL +10

Philadelphia at Dallas (PHI -3 O/U 55.5)

Tony Romo will not play due to injury; which might be the best thing for a struggling Dallas team. Romo has given away more games then anyone this season. This is another game where the winner wins the division. Dallas defeated the Eagles 17-3 in week 7. The man with the neck beard Kyle Orton will start for the Dallas Cowboys and defeat the Eagles.

DAL +3

Three Teamer 
San Francisco -1
St. Louis +10
Miami -6.5

O/U Special
BUF/NE Over
JAX/INDY Under
STL/SEA Over

Moneyline upset 
Dallas

Houston

Week 16

Week 16

Welcome to week 16 of the NFL season. Last week I posted a 9-7 record. My key losses included Philadelphia and the New Orleans Saints. One of my moneyline upsets did hit (Baltimore over Detroit). Here is what we have to look forward to this week.

Thursday: NO GAMES

Sunday:

Miami @ Buffalo (MIA -2.5; O/U 43.0)
I like Miami with such a small spread; they have been playing better over the last five and had a big win against New England. Tannenhill and his offense are clicking and Buffalo is 27th in the NFL against the pass. Look to see Miami win by at least 3.
Miami -2.5

Minnesota @ Cincinnati (CIN -7; O/U 48)
Minnesota had the biggest upset of the week last Sunday by absolutely SLAPPING the Eagles around. They defeated Philadelphia without their number one and two running backs (Peterson and Gerhart). As of now Leslie Frazier has said that both will play this upcoming Sunday. That being said Minnesota WILL COME BACK TO EARTH this week and lose by more than 7.
Cincinnati -7

Indianapolis @ Kansas City (KC -6.5; O/U 43.5)
This is a tough selection and I could choose either side. KC's confidence is soaring this week after their offensive performance last week, led by Jamaal Charles and his 5 TDs (4 receiving and 1 rushing). Indy is coming off a win against a less than mediocre Houston team, for fun I like Indy with the points.
Indianapolis +6.5

Tampa Bay @ St. Louis (STL -5; O/U 42.5)
St. Louis upset Drew Brees and the Saints last Sunday.Tampa Bay is in the bottom half of the NFL against the run, ranking 18th in the league. Zac Stacy will have 150+ yds and a TD. The rams win by 7+
St. Louis -5

Cleveland @ New York Jets (NYJ -2.5; O/U 40.5)
Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland! That is all I am saying.
Cleveland +2.5

Dallas @ Washington (DAL -2.5; O/U 53.5)
Kirky Cousins looked like he has been Washington's starter all year in his first start last week. He will look better against the league's worst ranked passing defense, the Dallas Cowboys. Take Washington and the points
Washington +2.5

New Orleans @ Carolina (CAR -3; O/U 47)
This is a very tough game to pick. New Orleans was embarrassed by the Rams last week while the Panthers beat the Jets by 10. The winner of this game takes the division. I would stay away from it, but if I had to pick I would take Carolina to win this game and the division.
Carolina -3

Tennessee @ Jacksonville (TEN -5.5 O/U 44)
Tennessee on the road is a completely different team then when they are at home. The positive to them playing on the road this week is that they will take a short trip to play an embarrassing team, the Jacksonville Jaguars. Take Tennessee -5.5
Tennessee -5.5

Denver @ Houston (DEN -10.5 O/U 51.5)
Denver all the way. After a losing to the Chargers last Thursday, Peyton Manning will bounce back. Also, the Broncos are tied with the Chiefs (DEN has tie breaker) in the division with the final two games left in the season. Denver by 14 here.
Denver -10.5

New York Giants @ Detroit (DET -8.5 O/U 48.5)
The New York Giants are one of the most disappointing teams in the NFL this season. Detroit will be in a win or go home mentality for the final two games. Detroit will win but the Giants will cover. Take the New York Football Giants here with the points here.
New York Giants +8.5

Arizona @ Seattle (SEA -10.5 O/U 43.5)
Seattle at home; hands down.
Seattle -10.5

Pittsburgh @ Green Bay (EVEN O/U n/a)
Aaron Rodgers is still not cleared to play this week; and the Packers are ranked 25th against the run the NFL. Leveon Bell will run at will against the Packers. Pittsburgh is the winner here.
Pittsburgh

Oakland @ San Diego (SD -10 O/U 50.5)
San Diego is still in a playoff hunt while Oakland has a chance to play spoilers. San Diego will be victorious but not win by 10+. I'm picking Oakland with the points.
Oakland +10

New England @ Baltimore (Bal -1 O/U 45.5)
Although Baltimore is coming off a upset Monday night against the Detroit Lions; New England will win this game straight up.
New England +1

Chicago @ Philadelphia (PHI -3 O/U 56)
STAY AWAY!! I will not be touching this game; but for the fun of it I'll take Da Bearss!
Chicago +3

Monday:

Atlanta @ San Francisco (SF -13 O/U 45)
San Francisco is 5-2 at home this season and defeated the Seattle (12-2) two weeks ago. I love San Francisco at home. Take them minus the points.
San Francisco -13

Three Teamer:
Seattle -10.5
New England +1
St. Louis -5

Over/Under Specials
New England/Baltimore - Over
Cleveland/New York Jets - Over
New Orleans/Carolina - Under

Moneyline Upsets
Cleveland and New England

Week 15 - NFL

Thursday:

San Diego vs Denver (SD+ 10.5)
Denver by 13. Look for Decker and FINALLY Demaryus Thomas to fill the void with Welker not playing after getting his 2nd concussion in four weeks. Also a healthy Julius Thomas at TE means at least one red zone TD for him.

Sunday:

Washington vs Atlanta  (WASH+ 6)
I Like "Warm" Lanta here (still not hot) they are a miserable  3 and 10 on the season. They are coming off of a loss to the GB Packers where they lead the entire game. Matt Ryan and Roddy White (who is now healthy) are finally clicking together and Steven Jackson has been averaging just under 4 yds per rush the past three weeks. Look for the falcons to win by a TD+

San Francisco vs Tampa Bay (TB+ 5)
Mike Glennon and Bobby Rainey will be shut down this week. Frisco by 10+ End of story

Seattle vs New York Giants (NYG+ 7)
Seattle heads into New York to take on the football Giants. I personally wouldn't touch this game; but for the degenerates that love action look for the Giants to keep it within a TD.

Chicago vs Cleveland (CHI+ 2.5)
Take Chicago with the pts. I personally like DA BEARSS on the moneyline. They are coming off a huge win against "America's Team" and are in a sudden death race with the Lions. They cannot afford to lose a game. Looking at Cleveland they will make a game out of this but fall short as they do in most games.

Houston vs Indianapolis (HOU +6)
Coin flip. I wouldn't touch this game with your grandma's money. Both teams are terrible. If i had to pick Id go with Houston just because I have fantasy value there.

Buffalo vs Jacksonville (JAX +2)
Climb aboard the Jaguar TRAIN!!! Jacksonville is officially on a winning streak and Buffalo has no defense. Jacksonville wins this game

New England vs Miami (MIA+3)
New England has given up 57 points in the last two weeks. They won both games but allowed Houston to score 31 and Cleveland to score 26.Although New England has forgotten how to play defense; I still like them with such a small spread. With that being said; Miami will NOT cover in this game. Miami loses by 6+.

Philadelphia vs Minnesota (MIN +4.5)
Philly all the way to the bank! Adrian Peterson says he is playing this week; but that's just his story. There is no word on whether or not he is cleared to play after sustaining an ankle sprain last week against the Ravens. Even if Peterson plays; I don't see them keeping up with Philly's "college" esque play calling. Their defense is just getting too old.

New York Jets vs Carolina Panthers (NYJ +11)
I usually stay away from double digit point spreads and I will do the same here. The Jets have been pitiful in the second half of the season. Although Carolina has been hot; winning 8 of their last 9 played. This is a sucker bet. STAY AWAY!!!

Kansas City vs Oakland (OAK +4)
Kansas City wins by double digits. Oakland is playing good football as of late but their mediocre offense is no match for Koolaid's defense.

Arizona vs Tennessee (TEN +3)
I like Arizona here; they always seem to cover. Whether they are favored or dogs, they cover. If you want to take Tennessee I'd recommend teasing it and making it +9.

New Orleans vs St. Louis (STL +6)
The Saints are still in a division race with the Carolina Panthers which means every down they will be going all out on. Drew Brees will shred STL's secondary and put up at least 3 TDs. Not only does New Orleans win but they cover... by a lot.

Green Bay vs Dallas (EVEN)
Aaron Rodger is still NOT cleared by the Packers. GB still wins this game. The packers have the ability to shut down the run. Dez Bryant will likely still go for 100 yds+ but lets face it no matter the spread is Dallas doesn't cover.

Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh (PIT +3)
This is another game I won't be touching. Both teams are horrible against the spread. Pittsburgh has been better as of late but I don't trust either team.

MONDAY NIGHT:

Baltimore vs Detroit (BAL +6)
Baltimore is looking like old as of late; with Ray Rice returning to last seasons form as well. Look to see Baltimore cover and possibly even win this game straight up.

3 TEAMER

KC -4
NO -6
PHI -4.5

MONEYLINE UPSET
JACKSONVILLE and/or BALTIMORE